US next strikes Iran on...?
$47.33M Vol.
1d
7h
49m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$47,326,252 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 24
February 24
$2.3M Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$2.39M Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$2.02M Vol.
2%
February 27
February 27
$1.41M Vol.
4%
No strike by February 28
No strike by February 28
$1.75M Vol.
90%
February 28
February 28
$1.63M Vol.
5%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and February 28, 2026, (ET).