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Elections

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%

Kamala Harris

6%

Jon Ossoff

4%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Pete Buttigieg

4%

Mark Kelly

3%

Andy Beshear

3%

Jon Stewart

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Ruben Gallego

1%

Roy Cooper

1%

Michelle Obama

1%

Stephen A. Smith

1%

Cory Booker

1%

Zohran Mamdani

1%

Ro Khanna

1%

John Fetterman

1%

Rahm Emanuel

1%

Mark Cuban

1%

James Talarico

1%

Barack Obama

1%

Phil Murphy

1%

Chris Murphy

1%

Gina Raimondo

<1%

Raphael Warnock

<1%

Liz Cheney

<1%

Beto O’Rourke

<1%

Andrew Yang

<1%

Jared Polis

<1%

LeBron James

<1%

Hunter Biden

<1%

MrBeast

<1%

Oprah Winfrey

<1%

George Clooney

<1%

Bernie Sanders

<1%

Kim Kardashian

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

<1%

Hillary Clinton

<1%

Tim Walz

<1%

Jasmine Crockett

<1%

$720M Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

23%

Gavin Newsom

17%

Marco Rubio

8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

6%

Kamala Harris

3%

Donald Trump

2%

Josh Shapiro

2%

Jon Ossoff

2%

Pete Buttigieg

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Jamie Dimon

2%

Andy Beshear

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Ron DeSantis

1%

Gretchen Whitmer

1%

JB Pritzker

1%

Elon Musk

1%

Wes Moore

1%

Tucker Carlson

1%

Ivanka Trump

1%

Donald Trump Jr.

1%

Michelle Obama

1%

Nikki Haley

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

1%

Vivek Ramaswamy

1%

Greg Abbott

1%

LeBron James

<1%

Zohran Mamdani

<1%

Eric Trump

<1%

Tim Walz

<1%

Stephen Smith

<1%

Kim Kardashian

<1%

Ro Khanna

<1%

James Talarico

<1%

$334M Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

42%

Marco Rubio

15%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

2%

Donald Trump Jr.

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Ivanka Trump

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tucker Carlson

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Rand Paul

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

1%

Brian Kemp

1%

Josh Hawley

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

1%

Matt Gaetz

1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

1%

Nikki Haley

1%

John Thune

1%

Tom Brady

1%

Erika Kirk

1%

Greg Abbott

1%

Mike Pence

1%

Kim Kardashian

1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

1%

Byron Donalds

1%

Elise Stefanik

1%

Katie Britt

1%

Kristi Noem

1%

Steve Bannon

<1%

Eric Trump

<1%

$331M Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

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Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Péter Magyar

62%

Viktor Orbán

38%

László Toroczkai

1%

István Kapitány

<1%

Klára Dobrev

<1%

János Lázár

<1%

$24M Vol.

Apr 12, 2026

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Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

James Talarico

69%

Jasmine Crockett

32%

Emily Morgul

<1%

Colin Allred

<1%

Michael Swanson

<1%

Beto O'Rourke

<1%

$1M Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

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Paris Mayoral Election

Emmanuel Grégoire

61%

Rachida Dati

36%

Sarah Knafo

2%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

<1%

Sophia Chikirou

<1%

David Belliard

<1%

Thierry Mariani

<1%

$3M Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

30%

Édouard Philippe

15%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

11%

Marine Le Pen

10%

Bruno Retailleau

7%

Dominique de Villepin

5%

Gabriel Attal

4%

François Hollande

3%

David Lisnard

3%

Sarah Knafo

2%

Raphaël Glucksmann

2%

Jean Castex

2%

Sébastien Lecornu

2%

Juan Branco

<1%

François Ruffin

<1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

<1%

Éric Zemmour

<1%

Gérald Darmanin

<1%

Laurent Wauquiez

<1%

Fabien Roussel

<1%

Manuel Bompard

<1%

Marine Tondelier

<1%

Olivier Faure

<1%

Mathilde Panot

<1%

Clémence Guetté

<1%

François Asselineau

<1%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

<1%

Valérie Pécresse

<1%

Élisabeth Borne

<1%

Carole Delga

<1%

Xavier Bertrand

<1%

Ségolène Royal

<1%

Clémentine Autain

<1%

Michel Barnier

<1%

François Bayrou

<1%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

<1%

$9M Vol.

Apr 30, 2027

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Colombia Presidential Election

Iván Cepeda Castro

38%

Abelardo de la Espriella

38%

Paloma Valencia

8%

Roy Barreras

6%

Claudia López (IND)

3%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón

<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)

<1%

Vicky Dávila (IND)

<1%

Daniel Quintero

<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)

<1%

David Luna Sánchez (IND)

<1%

Juan Manuel Galán (NL)

<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)

<1%

Enrique Peñalosa

<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas

<1%

Gustavo Bolívar (HC)

<1%

Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)

No

$5M Vol.

Jun 21, 2026

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Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

TISZA

64%

Fidesz

36%

DK

<1%

LMP

<1%

MSZP

<1%

Momentum

<1%

Mi Hazánk

<1%

Párbeszéd

<1%

Jobbik

<1%

KDNP

<1%

$877K Vol.

Apr 12, 2026

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2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh

78%

Oh Se-hoon

15%

Park Ju-min

4%

Na Kyung-won

2%

Ahn Cheol-soo

1%

Cho Kuk

<1%

Kang Hoon-sik

<1%

Han Dong-hoon

<1%

Jeon Hyun-heui

<1%

Cho Eun-hee

<1%

Park Yong-jin

<1%

Hong Ihk-pyo

<1%

Park Hong-keun

<1%

Seo Young-kyo

<1%

$3M Vol.

Jun 3, 2026

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Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

79%

John Cornyn

17%

Wesley Hunt

2%

Dawn Buckingham

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

<1%

$4M Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

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Trump out as President by March 31?

2%

chance

$4M Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Trump out as President before 2027?

15%

chance

$4M Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Texas Senate Election Matchup

Talarico & Paxton

62%

Crockett & Paxton

24%

Talarico & Cornyn

9%

Crockett & Cornyn

6%

Talarico & Hunt

<1%

Crockett & Hunt

<1%

Other

<1%

$44K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

R Senate, D House

45%

Democrats Sweep

40%

Republicans Sweep

15%

D Senate, R House

2%

Other

<1%

$3M Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

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Colombia Senate Election Winner

Pacto Histórico (PH)

91%

Centro Democrático (CD)

8%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

<1%

Salvación Nacional

<1%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

<1%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

<1%

Cambio Radical (CR)

<1%

Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U)

<1%

Comunes (COM)

<1%

Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA)

<1%

Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS)

<1%

Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO)

<1%

Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA)

<1%

$746K Vol.

Mar 8, 2026

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Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

32%

chance

$2M Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

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AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jay Feely

72%

Jason Duey

9%

Paul Reevs

6%

Joseph Chaplik

5%

John Trobough

3%

Kari Lake

3%

Derrick Gallego

3%

Brandon Sowers

3%

Kaitlin Purrington

2%

Matt Gress

2%

Gina Swoboda

1%

Todd Graham

<1%

Mark Brnovich

<1%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

<1%

$36K Vol.

Aug 4, 2026

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party

86%

Republican Party

15%

$3M Vol.

Nov 3, 2026

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Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

92%

Freedom Movement (GS)

8%

Democrats (D)

<1%

Social Democrats (SD)

<1%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

<1%

The Left (Levica)

<1%

Resni.ca (Res)

<1%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

<1%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

<1%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)

<1%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

<1%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

<1%

Party of Generations (SG)

<1%

Our Country (ND)

<1%

Prerod (PVP)

<1%

$744K Vol.

Mar 31, 2026