Geopolitics
Greenland
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
11%
chance
$28M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
16%
chance
$8M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?
30%
3%
50%
1%
$1M Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
7%
chance
$1M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
4%
chance
$156K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
4%
chance
$937K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
4%
chance
$102K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
NATO dissolves before 2027?
8%
chance
$43K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
40%
chance
$34K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Alberta join the US?
5%
chance
$1K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
5%
chance
$5K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
9%
chance
$17K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
6%
chance
$25K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026