Geopolitics
Ukraine Map
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by...?
March 31
>99%
February 28
98%
September 30
No
November 30
No
December 31
No
October 31
No
November 21
No
January 15
No
November 14
No
January 31
No
$5M Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Will Russia enter Bilytske by...?
March 31
99%
February 28
92%
$233K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by...?
March 31
73%
February 28
37%
$69K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
April 30
39%
March 31
16%
February 28
<1%
January 31
No
$794K Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
December 31
85%
June 30
65%
April 30
33%
March 31
22%
February 28
<1%
December 31
No
November 30
No
January 31
No
$2M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by...?
April 30
69%
March 31
44%
February 28
3%
$140K Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by...?
March 31
21%
February 28
5%
$150K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
March 31
41%
February 28
10%
$339K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
68%
Druzkhivka
28%
Sloviansk
23%
Kramatorsk
18%
Zaporizhia
9%
Sumy
6%
Kherson
6%
Kharkiv
5%
$586K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
14%
chance
$13K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
April 30
17%
March 31
11%
February 28
<1%
January 15
No
January 31
No
$429K Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?
March 31
6%
February 28
1%
$51K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by...?
June 30
75%
April 30
63%
March 31
31%
February 28
3%
$108K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?
51%
chance
$7K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by...?
March 31
57%
February 28
6%
$66K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
March 31
15%
November 30
No
December 31
No
$734K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
March 31
47%
February 28
12%
September 15
No
September 30
No
October 31
No
November 30
No
December 31
No
January 31
No
$1M Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?
March 31
31%
February 28
6%
January 31
No
$60K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
March 31
24%
February 28
3%
$22K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by March 31?
8%
chance
$8K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026