US next strikes Iran on...?
$9.04M Vol.
1m
2d
8h
End date
Mar 31, 2026
$9,036,720 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Before March ET
Before March ET
$352.55K Vol.
8%
March 1
March 1
$442.13K Vol.
4%
March 2
March 2
$405.12K Vol.
3%
March 3
March 3
$348K Vol.
3%
March 4
March 4
$376K Vol.
2%
March 5
March 5
$358.33K Vol.
2%
March 6
March 6
$295.11K Vol.
3%
March 7
March 7
$285.76K Vol.
3%
March 8
March 8
$323.68K Vol.
2%
March 9
March 9
$304.02K Vol.
1%
March 10
March 10
$299.35K Vol.
1%
March 11
March 11
$254.53K Vol.
<1%
March 12
March 12
$298.89K Vol.
2%
March 13
March 13
$192.09K Vol.
2%
March 14
March 14
$205.69K Vol.
3%
March 15
March 15
$261.78K Vol.
1%
March 16
March 16
$237.42K Vol.
<1%
March 17
March 17
$214.34K Vol.
<1%
March 18
March 18
$213.01K Vol.
1%
March 19
March 19
$242.85K Vol.
1%
March 20
March 20
$230.16K Vol.
3%
March 21
March 21
$190.33K Vol.
2%
March 22
March 22
$273.7K Vol.
1%
March 23
March 23
$256.38K Vol.
<1%
March 24
March 24
$230.13K Vol.
<1%
March 25
March 25
$214.56K Vol.
<1%
March 26
March 26
$233.28K Vol.
<1%
March 27
March 27
$161.24K Vol.
1%
March 28
March 28
$172.71K Vol.
1%
March 29
March 29
$249.99K Vol.
<1%
March 30
March 30
$315.04K Vol.
<1%
No strike by March 31
No strike by March 31
$249.62K Vol.
45%
March 31
March 31
$349.54K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, (ET).