Economy
Fed decision in March?
No change
97%
25 bps decrease
2%
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25+ bps increase
<1%
$173M Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
Largest Company End of February?
NVIDIA
>99%
Apple
<1%
Alphabet
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
$15M Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Largest Company end of March?
NVIDIA
95%
Apple
3%
Alphabet
2%
Microsoft
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Amazon
<1%
$2M Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Fed decision in April?
No change
89%
25 bps decrease
8%
50+ bps decrease
1%
25+ bps increase
1%
$3M Vol.
Apr 29, 2026
2nd Largest company end of February?
Apple
>99%
Alphabet
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
NVIDIA
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Amazon
<1%
$2M Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
2 (50 bps)
26%
3 (75 bps)
21%
1 (25 bps)
18%
4 (100 bps)
11%
0 (0 bps)
10%
5 (125 bps)
6%
12+ (300+ bps)
3%
6 (150 bps)
3%
8 (200 bps)
1%
7 (175 bps)
<1%
9 (225 bps)
<1%
10 (250 bps)
<1%
11 (275 bps)
<1%
$7M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Number of TSA Passengers February 28?
2.2M-2.4M
50%
2.0M-2.2M
33%
2.6M-2.8M
7%
2.4M-2.6M
5%
<2.0M
5%
>2.8M
4%
$64K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
3rd largest company end of February?
Alphabet
99%
Apple
<1%
NVIDIA
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Oracle
<1%
$2M Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
78%
Alphabet
11%
Apple
10%
Microsoft
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Amazon
<1%
$2M Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
February Inflation US - Annual
2.4%
44%
2.5%
35%
2.3%
13%
≥2.7%
4%
2.6%
3%
2.2%
2%
≤2.1%
1%
$100K Vol.
Mar 11, 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
No change
94%
25 bps increase
4%
Decrease rates
<1%
50+ bps increase
<1%
$580K Vol.
Mar 19, 2026
Fed Decision in June?
No change
49%
25 bps decrease
44%
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps increase
2%
50+ bps increase
<1%
$452K Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
2nd largest company end of March?
Apple
67%
Alphabet
26%
NVIDIA
7%
Microsoft
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Amazon
<1%
$1M Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
16%
chance
$157K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)
Cut–Pause–Pause
97%
Cut–Pause–Cut
2%
Other
<1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
No
Pause–Pause–Pause
No
Pause–Cut–Pause
No
Cut–Cut–Cut
No
Pause–Pause–Cut
No
Pause–Cut–Cut
No
$1M Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026
No change
99%
25 bps decrease
1%
50+ bps decrease
<1%
Increase
<1%
$183K Vol.
Mar 19, 2026
Number of TSA Passengers February 27?
2.4M-2.6M
44%
2.6M-2.8M
40%
>2.8M
9%
2.0M-2.2M
4%
2.2M-2.4M
3%
<2.0M
1%
$14K Vol.
13h
25m
08s
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
4%
chance
$528K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3rd largest company end of March?
Alphabet
69%
Apple
23%
Microsoft
3%
NVIDIA
3%
Amazon
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Oracle
<1%
$331K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
52%
Alphabet
26%
Apple
15%
Tesla
4%
Microsoft
3%
Amazon
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
$738K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026