Climate & Science
Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
1000
99%
1050
82%
1100
14%
1150
2%
1200
2%
1250
1%
1300
<1%
800
Yes
$846K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Morgan Stanley
54%
Goldman Sachs
36%
Bank of America
4%
JPMorgan
1%
UBS
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
$593K Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑1k
>99%
↑2k
92%
↑3k
73%
↑4k
55%
↑5k
49%
↑7.5k
29%
↑10k
22%
↑12.5k
16%
↑500
Yes
$7M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes February 23 - March 1?
0
66%
1
28%
2
7%
5
2%
3
1%
4
<1%
>5
<1%
$158K Vol.
Mar 1, 2026
February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.15–1.19ºC
49%
1.10–1.14ºC
24%
1.20–1.24ºC
15%
<1.05ºC
4%
1.05–1.09ºC
4%
>1.24ºC
3%
$449K Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
Precipitation in Seattle in February?
<3"
97%
3-4"
2%
5-6"
1%
4-5"
<1%
>8"
<1%
7-8"
<1%
6-7"
<1%
$254K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
35%
1200–1249
32%
<950
15%
1150–1199
12%
1100–1149
7%
1050–1099
7%
1000–1049
5%
950–999
3%
$20K Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
Precipitation in NYC in February?
2-3"
96%
3-4"
5%
<2"
<1%
4-5"
<1%
5-6"
<1%
>6"
<1%
$210K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
NASA Artemis II
April 30
34%
March 31
1%
February 28
<1%
February 7
No
$529K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
43%
5-6
34%
9-10
12%
7-8
7%
11-12
5%
>16
5%
13-14
1%
15-16
<1%
$287K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+
60%
7
18%
6
14%
5
5%
4
2%
3
1%
0
No
2
No
1
No
$1M Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
How many Tornadoes in the US in February?
30–59
94%
60–89
4%
90–119
1%
<30
<1%
120+
<1%
$194K Vol.
Mar 10, 2026
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2
41%
4
30%
1
15%
3
10%
6 or lower
4%
5
<1%
$1M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
1
51%
0
27%
2
7%
4
7%
3
5%
5+
1%
$407K Vol.
Mar 31, 2027
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
55%
chance
$80K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
83%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
5%
ByteDance
2%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
$303K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$X
60%
$STAR
14%
$SX
9%
$SPAX
9%
$MARS
3%
$SEX
3%
$SPC
<1%
$SPACE
<1%
$2M Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1T+
89%
No IPO before 2028
5%
600B–700B
2%
900B–1T
1%
800B–900B
<1%
<500B
<1%
700B–800B
<1%
500B–600B
<1%
$2M Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
11–13
35%
14–16
23%
8–10
18%
17–19
13%
20+
7%
5–7
3%
<5
2%
$723K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
22%
chance
$118K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026