Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
$3.31M Vol.
1d
8h
43m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$3,308,039 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 23
February 23
$69.08K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$52.94K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$41.53K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$63.88K Vol.
51%
February 27
February 27
$23.83K Vol.
44%
February 28
February 28
$39.46K Vol.
39%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Lebanese soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".