US strikes Iran by...?
$431.33M Vol.
4m
3d
8h
End date
Jun 30, 2026
$431,333,562 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 26
February 26
$6.97M Vol.
1%
February 27
February 27
$3.44M Vol.
4%
February 28
February 28
$46.98M Vol.
9%
March 1
March 1
$1.72M Vol.
13%
March 2
March 2
$803.03K Vol.
16%
March 3
March 3
$472.31K Vol.
18%
March 4
March 4
$393.87K Vol.
21%
March 5
March 5
$563.24K Vol.
23%
March 6
March 6
$403.51K Vol.
26%
March 7
March 7
$1.36M Vol.
29%
March 8
March 8
$21.44K Vol.
30%
March 9
March 9
$11.44K Vol.
31%
March 10
March 10
$32.25K Vol.
33%
March 11
March 11
$925.16 Vol.
35%
March 12
March 12
$1.82K Vol.
35%
March 13
March 13
$2.12K Vol.
37%
March 14
March 14
$4.32K Vol.
38%
March 15
March 15
$4.09M Vol.
41%
March 31
March 31
$18.01M Vol.
55%
June 30
June 30
$7.59M Vol.
66%
December 31
December 31
$937.37K Vol.
71%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".