US next strikes Iran on...?
$9.09M Vol.
1m
2d
7h
End date
Mar 31, 2026
$9,085,351 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Before March ET
Before March ET
$354.26K Vol.
10%
March 1
March 1
$449.67K Vol.
4%
March 2
March 2
$406.14K Vol.
3%
March 3
March 3
$349.04K Vol.
3%
March 4
March 4
$376.23K Vol.
2%
March 5
March 5
$358.7K Vol.
2%
March 6
March 6
$296.61K Vol.
5%
March 7
March 7
$287.09K Vol.
4%
March 8
March 8
$325.7K Vol.
2%
March 9
March 9
$304.33K Vol.
1%
March 10
March 10
$300.72K Vol.
1%
March 11
March 11
$254.72K Vol.
<1%
March 12
March 12
$299.08K Vol.
2%
March 13
March 13
$192.33K Vol.
2%
March 14
March 14
$206K Vol.
3%
March 15
March 15
$262.39K Vol.
<1%
March 16
March 16
$241.25K Vol.
<1%
March 17
March 17
$214.84K Vol.
<1%
March 18
March 18
$213.3K Vol.
<1%
March 19
March 19
$243.09K Vol.
<1%
March 20
March 20
$231.86K Vol.
2%
March 21
March 21
$190.92K Vol.
2%
March 22
March 22
$273.89K Vol.
<1%
March 23
March 23
$256.75K Vol.
<1%
March 24
March 24
$232.29K Vol.
<1%
March 25
March 25
$215.49K Vol.
<1%
March 26
March 26
$233.74K Vol.
<1%
March 27
March 27
$165.04K Vol.
1%
March 28
March 28
$176.65K Vol.
1%
March 29
March 29
$250.82K Vol.
<1%
March 30
March 30
$322.24K Vol.
<1%
No strike by March 31
No strike by March 31
$250.19K Vol.
44%
March 31
March 31
$349.98K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, (ET).