US strikes Iran by...?
$432.78M Vol.
4m
3d
7h
End date
Jun 30, 2026
$432,784,413 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 26
February 26
$7.33M Vol.
2%
February 27
February 27
$3.57M Vol.
6%
February 28
February 28
$47.46M Vol.
10%
March 1
March 1
$1.8M Vol.
15%
March 2
March 2
$818.11K Vol.
17%
March 3
March 3
$479.29K Vol.
19%
March 4
March 4
$398.1K Vol.
21%
March 5
March 5
$582.3K Vol.
25%
March 6
March 6
$411.35K Vol.
27%
March 7
March 7
$1.37M Vol.
30%
March 8
March 8
$23.12K Vol.
30%
March 9
March 9
$13.38K Vol.
32%
March 10
March 10
$35.18K Vol.
34%
March 11
March 11
$932.62 Vol.
35%
March 12
March 12
$2.83K Vol.
37%
March 13
March 13
$9.62K Vol.
38%
March 14
March 14
$4.77K Vol.
40%
March 15
March 15
$4.14M Vol.
42%
March 31
March 31
$18.18M Vol.
56%
June 30
June 30
$7.62M Vol.
67%
December 31
December 31
$948.79K Vol.
71%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".