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US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$16.15K Vol.

1y

1d

End date

Feb 28, 2027

$16,152 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

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500–600B

$62 Vol.

34%

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600–700B

$62 Vol.

33%

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700–800B

$62 Vol.

33%

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800–900B

$62 Vol.

36%

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<500B

$15.72K Vol.

44%

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900B–1T

$62 Vol.

37%

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1T–1.1T

$62 Vol.

42%

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1.1T+

$62 Vol.

36%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.