
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
$3.56M Vol.
1d
8h
47m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$3,560,350 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 23
February 23
$42.58K Vol.
<1%
February 24
February 24
$37.14K Vol.
<1%
February 25
February 25
$40.93K Vol.
<1%
February 26
February 26
$20.48K Vol.
24%
February 27
February 27
$14.75K Vol.
44%
February 28
February 28
$14.17K Vol.
38%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".