Politics
Venezuela
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
66%
María Corina Machado
13%
Nicolás Maduro
12%
Edmundo González
5%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
2%
Vladimir Padrino López
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
No Head of State
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
$54M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
June 30
21%
March 31
6%
$911K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
US strike on Cuba by...?
December 31
27%
March 31
7%
January 31
No
$1M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
December 31
11%
March 31
2%
December 31, 2025
No
January 31
No
$14M Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
27%
March 31
6%
January 31
No
$3M Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
<1%
chance
$740K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
December 31
60%
June 30
33%
$144K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Maduro Prison Time?
60+
37%
No prison time
35%
40–60
14%
<20
10%
20–40
5%
$183K Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
12%
chance
$229K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by...?
March 31
26%
February 15
No
$238K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
18%
chance
$143K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
US forces enter Venezuela again by...?
June 30
13%
March 31
6%
January 31
No
January 10
No
$1M Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1m
69%
1.1m
65%
1.2m
21%
1.3m
16%
1.5m
8%
1.4m
8%
1.7m
7%
2m
4%
$62K Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?
52%
chance
$8K Vol.
Mar 7, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
December 31
31%
March 31
2%
January 31
No
$478K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
17%
chance
$69K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?
10%
chance
$30K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?
December 31
94%
June 30
2%
$119K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
8%
chance
$87K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?
<1%
chance
$136K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026