Politics
Congress
When will DHS receive full-year funding?
February 28
<1%
February 9
No
February 13
No
$231K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?
1%
chance
$93K Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Blue tsunami in 2026?
30%
chance
$10K Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?
15%
chance
$26K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?
<1%
chance
$11K Vol.
11h
05m
59s
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 6-8%
31%
Republicans 6%+
27%
Republicans 2-4%
22%
Democrats 8-10%
22%
Republicans 4-6%
21%
Republicans 0-2%
20%
Democrats 4-6%
19%
Democrats 16%+
14%
Democrats 10-12%
14%
Democrats 0-2%
9%
Democrats 2-4%
8%
Democrats 14-16%
7%
Democrats 12-14%
4%
$1K Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
13%
chance
$643 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
Susan Collins
64%
John Fetterman
56%
Thom Tillis
47%
Chris Coons
44%
Tim Kaine
43%
Chuck Schumer
41%
Jeanne Shaheen
37%
Rand Paul
37%
Ron Johnson
36%
Maggie Hassan
35%
Lisa Murkowski
35%
Rick Scott
34%
Patty Murray
33%
Angus King
31%
Mike Lee
30%
Jacky Rosen
28%
Catherine Cortez Masto
28%
Mark Warner
26%
Dick Durbin
21%
Chris Murphy
17%
Kirsten Gillibrand
15%
Amy Klobuchar
8%
Bernie Sanders
7%
$31K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
3%
chance
$7K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
December 31, 2026
35%
June 30, 2026
12%
March 31, 2026
4%
December 31, 2025
No
$85K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
2%
chance
$45K Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?
2%
chance
$34K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
5
67%
6
13%
7
8%
8
3%
11
3%
<5
2%
12+
2%
10
2%
9
1%
$27K Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
6%
chance
$4K Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
16%
chance
$9K Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Housing for the 21st Century Act
66%
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
66%
Export-control chip security
63%
SELF DRIVE Act
59%
Critical-minerals stockpile
59%
Credit-card routing competition
51%
DEFIANCE Act
51%
Film/TV production expensing
51%
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
51%
AI-chip export licensing
51%
$2.50 Coin
50%
SHOWER Act
50%
Trump Airport
28%
Data center utility cost protection
27%
$1K Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
24–27
56%
32–35
16%
28–31
14%
20–23
12%
36–39
7%
40+
4%
<20
3%
$21K Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
28–31
36%
32–35
35%
36–39
21%
44+
13%
40–43
10%
<24
5%
24–27
3%
$26K Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Blue wave in 2026?
72%
chance
$19K Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
35%
chance
$96K Vol.
Jan 3, 2027