Politics
Senate
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
78%
chance
$10K Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Jasmine Crockett Texas Senate Race Result
Lose Dem Primary
68%
Win Dem Primary, Lose Senate Race
28%
Win Senate Race
6%
$43K Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
60%
Democratic Party
41%
$596K Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
3%
chance
$7K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
2%
chance
$45K Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
35%
chance
$96K Vol.
Jan 3, 2027
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
John Kennedy
89%
Kevin Cramer
79%
Thom Tillis
76%
Lisa Murkowski
57%
Chuck Schumer
24%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Elizabeth Warren
11%
$4K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5%
chance
$95K Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
December 31, 2026
26%
March 31, 2026
7%
October 31
No
December 31
No
$531K Vol.
Mar 31, 2026