
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$13.69M Vol.
1m
2d
9h
End date
Mar 31, 2026
$13,687,544 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
March 31
March 31
$2.41M Vol.
2%
December 31
December 31
$145.97K Vol.
11%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".