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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$13.69M Vol.

1m

2d

9h

End date

Mar 31, 2026

$13,687,544 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

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March 31

$2.41M Vol.

2%

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December 31

$145.97K Vol.

11%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".