Finance

Fed Rates

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$539.55M Vol.

10m

End date

Dec 31, 2026

$539,546,089 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

Kevin Warsh

$43.33M Vol.

94%

Judy Shelton

$96.36M Vol.

No one nominated before 2027

$20M Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$20.18M Vol.

<1%

Kevin Hassett

$31.08M Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$24.33M Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$28.34M Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$22.18M Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$24.46M Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$6.28M Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2.93M Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$21.11M Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10.32M Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$27.74M Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12.61M Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$37.98M Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2.75M Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4.28M Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17.9M Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2.85M Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10.8M Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21.31M Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$6.04M Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20.88M Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23.51M Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

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