Finance

Fed Rates

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$539.38M Vol.

10m

12h

End date

Dec 31, 2026

$539,384,530 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

Kevin Warsh

$43.31M Vol.

94%

Judy Shelton

$96.28M Vol.

No one nominated before 2027

$19.98M Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$20.17M Vol.

<1%

Christopher Waller

$24.32M Vol.

<1%

Rick Rieder

$28.33M Vol.

<1%

Michelle Bowman

$22.17M Vol.

<1%

Kevin Hassett

$31.07M Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$24.46M Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$6.28M Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2.93M Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$21.11M Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10.32M Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$27.74M Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12.61M Vol.

<1%

Scott Bessent

$37.98M Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2.75M Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$4.28M Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$17.9M Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2.85M Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$10.8M Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$21.31M Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$6.04M Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$20.88M Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$23.5M Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Empty betslip

Select an outcome to take a position