February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$456.04K Vol.
11d
8h
50m
End date
Mar 10, 2026
$456,044 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
<1.05ºC
<1.05ºC
$47.26K Vol.
4%
1.05–1.09ºC
1.05–1.09ºC
$42.6K Vol.
4%
1.10–1.14ºC
1.10–1.14ºC
$77.61K Vol.
20%
1.15–1.19ºC
1.15–1.19ºC
$80.56K Vol.
50%
1.20–1.24ºC
1.20–1.24ºC
$100.54K Vol.
19%
>1.24ºC
>1.24ºC
$107.53K Vol.
2%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released.