How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$407.75K Vol.
1y
1m
2d
End date
Mar 31, 2027
$407,746 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
0
0
$178.18K Vol.
29%
1
1
$192.05K Vol.
51%
2
2
$15.61K Vol.
6%
3
3
$4.61K Vol.
5%
4
4
$9.57K Vol.
7%
5+
5+
$7.73K Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.