Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
$852.15K Vol.
1d
11h
2m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$852,150 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
1000
1000
$233.42K Vol.
>99%
1050
1050
$78.79K Vol.
89%
1100
1100
$127.12K Vol.
21%
1150
1150
$65.42K Vol.
5%
1200
1200
$187.4K Vol.
2%
1250
1250
$27.92K Vol.
2%
1300
1300
$30.46K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".