How many times will the US strike Somalia in February?
$1.04M Vol.
5d
8h
47m
End date
Mar 4, 2026
$1,038,570 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
10-13
10-13
$166.3K Vol.
68%
14-17
14-17
$151.34K Vol.
30%
18-21
18-21
$181.84K Vol.
3%
22+
22+
$97.09K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of independent incidents of US-initiated drone, missile, or air strikes on the soil of Somalia that occur between February 1 and February 28, 2026, and are announced by the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM) by March 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.