US next strikes Iran on...?
$9M Vol.
1m
2d
12h
End date
Mar 31, 2026
$9,003,687 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Before March ET
Before March ET
$350.07K Vol.
10%
March 1
March 1
$439.32K Vol.
4%
March 2
March 2
$403.51K Vol.
3%
March 3
March 3
$346.25K Vol.
3%
March 4
March 4
$374.73K Vol.
2%
March 5
March 5
$357.34K Vol.
2%
March 6
March 6
$293.87K Vol.
4%
March 7
March 7
$282.68K Vol.
3%
March 8
March 8
$322.95K Vol.
2%
March 9
March 9
$302.86K Vol.
1%
March 10
March 10
$298.3K Vol.
1%
March 11
March 11
$252.72K Vol.
<1%
March 12
March 12
$297.7K Vol.
1%
March 13
March 13
$191.56K Vol.
3%
March 14
March 14
$203.55K Vol.
2%
March 15
March 15
$260.27K Vol.
1%
March 16
March 16
$236.51K Vol.
<1%
March 17
March 17
$212.99K Vol.
<1%
March 18
March 18
$212.96K Vol.
1%
March 19
March 19
$242.48K Vol.
1%
March 20
March 20
$229.98K Vol.
2%
March 21
March 21
$189.54K Vol.
2%
March 22
March 22
$273.35K Vol.
1%
March 23
March 23
$254.43K Vol.
<1%
March 24
March 24
$230.08K Vol.
<1%
March 25
March 25
$213.88K Vol.
<1%
March 26
March 26
$233.23K Vol.
<1%
March 27
March 27
$160.7K Vol.
1%
March 28
March 28
$172.31K Vol.
1%
March 29
March 29
$249.94K Vol.
<1%
March 30
March 30
$314.99K Vol.
<1%
No strike by March 31
No strike by March 31
$249.32K Vol.
46%
March 31
March 31
$349.29K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, (ET).