US strikes Iran by...?
$429.35M Vol.
4m
3d
12h
End date
Jun 30, 2026
$429,350,634 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 26
February 26
$6.22M Vol.
2%
February 27
February 27
$3.24M Vol.
5%
February 28
February 28
$46.58M Vol.
10%
March 1
March 1
$1.61M Vol.
14%
March 2
March 2
$766.51K Vol.
16%
March 3
March 3
$428.09K Vol.
19%
March 4
March 4
$378.5K Vol.
21%
March 5
March 5
$552.43K Vol.
23%
March 6
March 6
$398.08K Vol.
25%
March 7
March 7
$1.34M Vol.
28%
March 8
March 8
$11.68K Vol.
29%
March 9
March 9
$6.91K Vol.
30%
March 10
March 10
$13.68K Vol.
32%
March 11
March 11
$611.2 Vol.
33%
March 12
March 12
$1.29K Vol.
35%
March 13
March 13
$724.93 Vol.
36%
March 14
March 14
$3.57K Vol.
38%
March 15
March 15
$4.01M Vol.
41%
March 31
March 31
$17.8M Vol.
55%
June 30
June 30
$7.52M Vol.
68%
December 31
December 31
$894.15K Vol.
72%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".