End date
Mar 31, 2026
$146,838 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
↓ 40%
↓ 40%
$19.36K Vol.
3%
↓ 50%
↓ 50%
$25.79K Vol.
13%
↓ 55%
↓ 55%
$24.38K Vol.
40%
↑ 70%
↑ 70%
$3.19K Vol.
9%
↑ 75%
↑ 75%
$25.53K Vol.
4%
↑ 80%
↑ 80%
$21.8K Vol.
2%
↑ 90%
↑ 90%
$4.07K Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?" market (polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.