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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.3K Vol.

8m

9d

9h

End date

Nov 3, 2026

$1,296 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

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Democrats 6-8%

$62.36 Vol.

28%

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Republicans 6%+

$440.84 Vol.

26%

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Democrats 10-12%

$60.84 Vol.

25%

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Democrats 4-6%

$60.84 Vol.

24%

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Democrats 8-10%

$60.84 Vol.

21%

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Republicans 2-4%

$60.84 Vol.

19%

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Republicans 4-6%

$60.84 Vol.

18%

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Republicans 0-2%

$65.98 Vol.

17%

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Democrats 0-2%

$60.84 Vol.

12%

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Democrats 2-4%

$60.84 Vol.

11%

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Democrats 14-16%

$172.84 Vol.

9%

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Democrats 16%+

$66.88 Vol.

9%

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Democrats 12-14%

$60.84 Vol.

4%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.