End date
Dec 31, 2026
$120,271 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Kristi Noem
Kristi Noem
$11.72K Vol.
21%
None before 2027
None before 2027
$19.57K Vol.
20%
Pam Bondi
Pam Bondi
$12.56K Vol.
17%
Howard Lutnick
Howard Lutnick
$8.26K Vol.
14%
Susie Wiles
Susie Wiles
$3.57K Vol.
7%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$3.35K Vol.
6%
Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
$4.98K Vol.
6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$4.07K Vol.
6%
Doug Collins
Doug Collins
$3.01K Vol.
2%
Linda McMahon
Linda McMahon
$2.93K Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
Pete Hegseth
$2.76K Vol.
2%
Lee Zeldin
Lee Zeldin
$2.78K Vol.
1%
Russell T. Vought
Russell T. Vought
$2.85K Vol.
1%
Sean Duffy
Sean Duffy
$2.67K Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
$3.86K Vol.
1%
Doug Burgum
Doug Burgum
$2.74K Vol.
1%
Scott Turner
Scott Turner
$2.99K Vol.
1%
Jamieson Greer
Jamieson Greer
$3.19K Vol.
1%
Kelly Loeffler
Kelly Loeffler
$3.41K Vol.
1%
Mike Waltz
Mike Waltz
$3.34K Vol.
1%
Scott Bessent
Scott Bessent
$2.88K Vol.
<1%
John Ratcliffe
John Ratcliffe
$2.08K Vol.
<1%
Chris Wright
Chris Wright
$3.99K Vol.
<1%
Brooke Rollins
Brooke Rollins
$2.62K Vol.
<1%
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
$4.08K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.