Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$1.5M Vol.
10m
7d
8h
End date
Dec 31, 2026
$1,500,224 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
1
1
$247.69K Vol.
15%
2
2
$180.09K Vol.
41%
3
3
$133.36K Vol.
10%
4
4
$185.05K Vol.
30%
5
5
$542.17K Vol.
<1%
6 or lower
6 or lower
$211.86K Vol.
4%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.