Event icon

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$117.78K Vol.

10m

7d

11h

End date

Dec 31, 2026

2026

$117,784 Vol.

Resolution

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.