How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$289.07K Vol.
10m
7d
8h
End date
Dec 31, 2026
$289,072 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
<5
<5
$42.21K Vol.
39%
5-6
5-6
$57.2K Vol.
32%
7-8
7-8
$123.43K Vol.
8%
9-10
9-10
$50.76K Vol.
10%
11-12
11-12
$2.49K Vol.
5%
13-14
13-14
$2.84K Vol.
1%
15-16
15-16
$2.91K Vol.
<1%
>16
>16
$7.23K Vol.
5%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".