Measles cases in U.S. by February 28?
$860.7K Vol.
1d
8h
53m
End date
Feb 28, 2026
$860,698 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
1000
1000
$234.54K Vol.
>99%
1050
1050
$81.26K Vol.
89%
1100
1100
$129.24K Vol.
18%
1150
1150
$68.12K Vol.
5%
1200
1200
$187.4K Vol.
1%
1250
1250
$28.02K Vol.
3%
1300
1300
$30.51K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".