Primaries Prediction Markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

26%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

10%

Kamala Harris

6%

Jon Ossoff

4%

Josh Shapiro

4%

Pete Buttigieg

3%

Mark Kelly

3%

Andy Beshear

3%

Jon Stewart

2%

Gretchen Whitmer

2%

J.B. Pritzker

2%

Wes Moore

2%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

2%

Ruben Gallego

1%

Roy Cooper

1%

Michelle Obama

1%

Stephen A. Smith

1%

Cory Booker

1%

Zohran Mamdani

1%

Ro Khanna

1%

John Fetterman

1%

Mark Cuban

1%

Rahm Emanuel

1%

James Talarico

1%

Barack Obama

1%

Phil Murphy

1%

Chris Murphy

1%

Gina Raimondo

<1%

Raphael Warnock

<1%

Liz Cheney

<1%

Beto O’Rourke

<1%

Andrew Yang

<1%

Jared Polis

<1%

LeBron James

<1%

Hunter Biden

<1%

MrBeast

<1%

Oprah Winfrey

<1%

George Clooney

<1%

Bernie Sanders

<1%

Kim Kardashian

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

<1%

Hillary Clinton

<1%

Tim Walz

<1%

Jasmine Crockett

<1%

$720M Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

42%

Marco Rubio

15%

Donald Trump

2%

Ron DeSantis

2%

Donald Trump Jr.

2%

Glenn Youngkin

2%

Ted Cruz

2%

Ivanka Trump

2%

Elon Musk

2%

Vivek Ramaswamy

2%

Tucker Carlson

2%

Thomas Massie

2%

Rand Paul

1%

Tulsi Gabbard

1%

Brian Kemp

1%

Josh Hawley

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

1%

Matt Gaetz

1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

1%

Nikki Haley

1%

John Thune

1%

Tom Brady

1%

Erika Kirk

1%

Greg Abbott

1%

Mike Pence

1%

Kim Kardashian

1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

1%

Byron Donalds

1%

Elise Stefanik

1%

Katie Britt

1%

Kristi Noem

1%

Steve Bannon

<1%

Eric Trump

<1%

$331M Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

James Talarico

69%

Jasmine Crockett

32%

Emily Morgul

<1%

Colin Allred

<1%

Michael Swanson

<1%

Beto O'Rourke

<1%

$1M Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

80%

John Cornyn

17%

Wesley Hunt

2%

Dawn Buckingham

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

<1%

$4M Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Talarico & Paxton

62%

Crockett & Paxton

24%

Talarico & Cornyn

9%

Crockett & Cornyn

6%

Talarico & Hunt

<1%

Crockett & Hunt

<1%

Other

<1%

$44K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jay Feely

72%

Jason Duey

9%

Paul Reevs

6%

Joseph Chaplik

4%

John Trobough

3%

Kari Lake

3%

Derrick Gallego

3%

Brandon Sowers

3%

Kaitlin Purrington

2%

Matt Gress

2%

Gina Swoboda

1%

Todd Graham

<1%

Mark Brnovich

<1%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

<1%

$36K Vol.

Aug 4, 2026

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Raja Krishnamoorthi

48%

Juliana Stratton

42%

Stanley Leavell

4%

Sean Brown

1%

Christopher Swann

<1%

Jonathan Dean

<1%

Robin Kelly

<1%

Steve Botsford Jr.

<1%

Awisi Bustos

<1%

Adam Delgado

<1%

Bryan Maxwell

<1%

Adair Rodriquez

<1%

Jump Shepherd

<1%

Kevin Ryan

<1%

Anthony Williams

<1%

Robert Palmer

<1%

$124K Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

TX-02 Republican Primary Winner

Daniel Crenshaw

53%

Steve Toth

46%

Nicholas Plumb

2%

Martin Etwop

<1%

$48K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

Jo Rae Perkins

52%

Russell McAlmond

15%

Tim Skelton

13%

Joe Johnson

11%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

3%

David Burch

3%

$33K Vol.

May 19, 2026

TX-21 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Teixeira

98%

Trey Trainor

1%

Daniel Betts

<1%

Mike Wheeler

<1%

Weston Martinez

<1%

Jason Cahill

<1%

Paul Rojas

<1%

Robert Lowry

<1%

Ezekiel Enriquez

<1%

Chip Roy

<1%

Peggy Wardlaw

<1%

Heather Tessmer

<1%

Kyle Sinclair

<1%

Matt Okerson

<1%

Denis Goulet

<1%

Jacques DuBose

<1%

$62K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck

84%

Shelly deZevallos

7%

Jeff Yuna

4%

Jennifer Sundt

2%

Avery Ayers

1%

Michael Pratt

1%

Craig Goralski

<1%

Barrett McNabb

<1%

Larry Rubin

<1%

Carmen Montiel

<1%

$18K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds

81%

James Fishback

12%

Jay Collins

6%

Casey DeSantis

2%

Matt Gaetz

<1%

Wilton Simpson

<1%

Jimmy Patronis

<1%

$266K Vol.

Aug 18, 2026

Texas Democratic Senate Primary: First Round Winner

James Talarico

68%

Jasmine Crockett

30%

$13K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

Sholdon Daniels

81%

Gregor Heise

19%

Everett Jackson

1%

Nils Walker

<1%

$12K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

John Cornyn

78%

Ken Paxton

16%

Wesley Hunt

5%

Beth Van Duyne

<1%

Dawn Buckingham

<1%

$369K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

3rd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

Wesley Hunt

97%

John Cornyn

3%

Ken Paxton

<1%

Dawn Buckingham

<1%

Beth Van Duyne

<1%

$204K Vol.

Mar 3, 2026

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner

78%

Janet Mills

22%

Chellie Pingree

<1%

Jordan Wood

<1%

Troy Jackson

<1%

Dan Kleban

<1%

Jared Golden

<1%

$2M Vol.

Jun 9, 2026

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

Barbara Kirkmeyer

37%

Victor Marx

34%

Scott Bottoms

20%

Daniel Thomas

6%

Greg Lopez

5%

Jon Gray-Ginsberg

3%

Will McBride

2%

Robert Moore

1%

Mark Baisley

1%

Jason Clark

<1%

Brycen Garrison

<1%

Bob Brinkerhoff

<1%

Joshua Griffin

<1%

Stevan Gess

<1%

Jason Mikesell

<1%

$51K Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux

55%

Justin Story

22%

Jorge Malavet

9%

Marcus Carter

9%

Howard Steven Rance

5%

$17K Vol.

Aug 18, 2026

IL-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Melissa Conyears Ervin

54%

La Shawn Ford

17%

Jason Friedman

13%

Felix Tello

6%

Kina Collins

3%

Anabel Mendoza

3%

Richard Boykin

3%

Anthony Driver Jr.

2%

David Ehrlich

2%

Thomas Fisher

1%

Rory Hoskins

<1%

Reed Showalter

<1%

Jazmin Robinson

<1%

$13K Vol.

Mar 17, 2026

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Senate Election Matchup

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

TX-02 Republican Primary Winner

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

TX-21 Republican Primary Winner

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Texas Democratic Senate Primary: First Round Winner

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

3rd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

IL-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Empty betslip

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Senate Election Matchup

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

TX-02 Republican Primary Winner

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

TX-21 Republican Primary Winner

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Texas Democratic Senate Primary: First Round Winner

TX-30 Republican Primary Winner

2nd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

3rd place in first round of Texas Republican Senate Primary?

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

IL-07 Democratic Primary Winner