Earnings

IPOs

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IPOs before 2027?

Cerebras

91%

Discord

88%

SpaceX

85%

Ledger

75%

Anthropic

67%

OpenAI

46%

SHEIN

42%

Databricks

41%

Applied Intuition

39%

Deel

38%

Anduril Industries

38%

Epic Games

32%

Freddie Mac

31%

Canva

26%

Ramp

19%

Fannie Mae

19%

Rippling

18%

Waymo

17%

Remote

16%

Glean

16%

Anduril

16%

Stripe

16%

Vanta

15%

Anysphere (Cursor)

14%

Celonis

13%

Mistral AI

12%

ByteDance

9%

Revolut

9%

Ripple Labs

9%

Brex

7%

Once Upon a Farm

Yes

Wealthfront

Yes

xAI

No

$4M Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

Morgan Stanley

54%

Goldman Sachs

36%

Bank of America

4%

JPMorgan

1%

UBS

<1%

Citigroup

<1%

Barclays

<1%

Deutsche Bank

<1%

Wells Fargo

<1%

$593K Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026

97%

600B+

<1%

100–200B

<1%

300–400B

<1%

<100B

<1%

400–600B

<1%

200–300B

<1%

$499K Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026

54%

750B–1T

11%

500–750B

7%

1.5T+

6%

1T–1.25T

5%

<500B

4%

1.25T–1.5T

4%

$1M Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026

66%

175–200B

3%

100–125B

3%

200–250B

<1%

150–175B

<1%

<100B

<1%

125–150B

<1%

250B+

<1%

$147K Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B

66%

$1T

58%

$1.2T

36%

$1.4T

14%

$1.6T

11%

$1M Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX

83%

OpenAI

6%

Anthropic

5%

ByteDance

2%

Discord

2%

Databricks

1%

Perplexity AI

<1%

Stripe

<1%

Waymo

<1%

Revolut

<1%

Kraken

<1%

SHEIN

<1%

$304K Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

1T+

89%

No IPO before 2028

5%

600B–700B

2%

900B–1T

1%

800B–900B

<1%

<500B

<1%

700B–800B

<1%

500B–600B

<1%

$2M Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

75%

chance

$35K Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

63%

chance

$24K Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 2028

61%

50B–75B

15%

75B–100B

7%

30B–40B

6%

100B+

5%

<20B

2%

40B–50B

2%

20B–30B

1%

$116K Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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Fannie Mae IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026

94%

200–250B

2%

400B+

2%

300–350B

2%

250–300B

1%

350–400B

1%

<200B

<1%

$38K Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T

88%

>$1.2T

84%

>$1.4T

73%

>$1.6T

67%

>$1.8T

59%

>$2T

47%

>$2.2T

36%

>$2.4T

31%

>$3T

15%

$626K Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

2.0T+

40%

1.6T–1.8T

13%

<1.0T

9%

1.8T–2.0T

9%

1.2T–1.4T

8%

1.4T–1.6T

6%

No IPO before 2028

5%

1.0T–1.2T

3%

$274K Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

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OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026

48%

June 30, 2026

5%

December 31, 2025

No

$1M Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

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Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$16B

61%

$18B

52%

$20B

47%

$24B

32%

$22B

18%

$26B

16%

$28B

13%

$80K Vol.

Jan 1, 2027

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Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1B

68%

$2B

43%

$3B

33%

$291K Vol.

Jan 1, 2027

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Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

<15B

34%

No IPO by June 30, 2026

21%

20–25B

14%

15–20B

13%

30B+

12%

25–30B

9%

$324K Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

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Clear Street Group IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before April 2026

92%

<9.0B

6%

12.0B+

5%

10.0B–10.5B

4%

11.5B–12.0B

4%

9.5B–10.0B

4%

11.0B–11.5B

4%

9.0B–9.5B

3%

10.5B–11.0B

1%

$41K Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

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Stripe IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026

96%

80–100B

2%

120–140B

1%

140B+

<1%

<80B

<1%

100–120B

<1%

$95K Vol.

Jun 30, 2026