End date
Mar 31, 2026
$51,048 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
$6.43K Vol.
44%
Anthropic
Anthropic
$4.52K Vol.
33%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$9.85K Vol.
10%
xAI
xAI
$3.72K Vol.
9%
Mistral
Mistral
$2.92K Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$10.13K Vol.
3%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$2.46K Vol.
3%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$2.68K Vol.
<1%
Meituan
Meituan
$3.52K Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$2.61K Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$2.21K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.