End date
Feb 28, 2026
$196,564 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
$24.76K Vol.
95%
Anthropic
Anthropic
$31.49K Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$13.24K Vol.
1%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$19.12K Vol.
1%
xAI
xAI
$16.27K Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$15.02K Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$11.8K Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$15.5K Vol.
<1%
Meituan
Meituan
$30.73K Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$8.32K Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$10.33K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.