
Fed rate cut by...?
$904.05K Vol.
3m
20d
9h
End date
Jun 17, 2026
$904,051 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
March Meeting
March Meeting
$226.43K Vol.
3%
April Meeting
April Meeting
$62.96K Vol.
13%
June Meeting
June Meeting
$26.55K Vol.
52%
July Meeting
July Meeting
$0 Vol.
56%
September Meeting
September Meeting
$0 Vol.
57%
October Meeting
October Meeting
$0 Vol.
63%
December Meeting
December Meeting
$0 Vol.
73%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.