Event icon

Tech

Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

$51.05K Vol.

1m

2d

8h

End date

Mar 31, 2026

$51,048 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

Google

$6.43K Vol.

44%

Anthropic

$4.52K Vol.

33%

OpenAI

$9.85K Vol.

10%

xAI

$3.72K Vol.

9%

Mistral

$2.92K Vol.

3%

DeepSeek

$10.13K Vol.

3%

Moonshot

$2.46K Vol.

3%

Z.ai

$2.68K Vol.

<1%

Meituan

$3.52K Vol.

<1%

Alibaba

$2.61K Vol.

<1%

Baidu

$2.21K Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

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Event icon

Tech

Big Tech

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

$51.05K Vol.

1m

2d

8h

End date

Mar 31, 2026

$51,048 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

Google

$6.43K Vol.

44%

Anthropic

$4.52K Vol.

33%

OpenAI

$9.85K Vol.

10%

xAI

$3.72K Vol.

9%

Mistral

$2.92K Vol.

3%

DeepSeek

$10.13K Vol.

3%

Moonshot

$2.46K Vol.

3%

Z.ai

$2.68K Vol.

<1%

Meituan

$3.52K Vol.

<1%

Alibaba

$2.61K Vol.

<1%

Baidu

$2.21K Vol.

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.