End date
Mar 31, 2026
$4,954 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
$889.34 Vol.
39%
xAI
xAI
$685.08 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
Anthropic
$408.78 Vol.
19%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$786.31 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$483.06 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$313.88 Vol.
4%
Mistral
Mistral
$437.84 Vol.
2%
Meituan
Meituan
$324.18 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$309.99 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$315.74 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
