End date
Feb 28, 2026
$185,677 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
$36.82K Vol.
92%
Anthropic
Anthropic
$27.64K Vol.
6%
xAI
xAI
$34.81K Vol.
3%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$16.27K Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$10.91K Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$9.84K Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$12.6K Vol.
<1%
Meituan
Meituan
$6.39K Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$8.26K Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$7.98K Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$14.16K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
