
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027
$523.25K Vol.

End date: Jan 1, 2027
Outcomes

<5
$104.28K Vol.
50%
50%

5-6
$118.69K Vol.
48%
48%

7-8
$164.46K Vol.
<1%
<1%

9-10
$66.14K Vol.
<1%
<1%

11-12
$11.32K Vol.
<1%
<1%

13-14
$11.07K Vol.
<1%
<1%

15-16
$32.05K Vol.
<1%
<1%

>16
$15.24K Vol.
<1%
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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