End date
Feb 28, 2026
$21,089,590 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Anthropic
Anthropic
$3.28M Vol.
98%
$3.83M Vol.
2%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$2.45M Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$2.38M Vol.
<1%
xAI
xAI
$2.94M Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$1.04M Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$1.25M Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$830.05K Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$942.17K Vol.
<1%
Meituan
Meituan
$1.46M Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$686.07K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
