End date
Mar 31, 2026
$2,842,760 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Anthropic
Anthropic
$239.77K Vol.
60%
$401.39K Vol.
23%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$218.85K Vol.
9%
xAI
xAI
$216.49K Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$222.15K Vol.
3%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$172.22K Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$442.13K Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$188.82K Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$277.92K Vol.
<1%
Meituan
Meituan
$290.66K Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$172.36K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
