Event icon

Tech

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$790.18K Vol.

4m

3d

8h

End date

Jun 30, 2026

$790,185 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

OpenAI

$279.05K Vol.

29%

xAI

$210.17K Vol.

23%

DeepSeek

$12.81K Vol.

10%

Meta

$12.25K Vol.

9%

Z.ai

$2.91K Vol.

5%

Mistral

$6.18K Vol.

3%

Meituan

$1.56K Vol.

3%

Alibaba

$524.12 Vol.

3%

Baidu

$1.15K Vol.

3%

Nvidia

$5.62K Vol.

1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

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Event icon

Tech

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

$790.18K Vol.

4m

3d

8h

End date

Jun 30, 2026

$790,185 Vol.

Outcome

% Chance

OpenAI

$279.05K Vol.

29%

xAI

$210.17K Vol.

23%

DeepSeek

$12.81K Vol.

10%

Meta

$12.25K Vol.

9%

Z.ai

$2.91K Vol.

5%

Mistral

$6.18K Vol.

3%

Meituan

$1.56K Vol.

3%

Alibaba

$524.12 Vol.

3%

Baidu

$1.15K Vol.

3%

Nvidia

$5.62K Vol.

1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."