End date
Mar 31, 2026
$402,389 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
OpenAI
OpenAI
$43.42K Vol.
77%
Anthropic
Anthropic
$44.89K Vol.
11%
$50.97K Vol.
7%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$34.04K Vol.
4%
xAI
xAI
$34.4K Vol.
1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$40.85K Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$86.95K Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$36.93K Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$29.94K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
