Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
$1.01M Vol.
10m
7d
9h
End date
Dec 31, 2026
$1,010,282 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
March 31
March 31
$451.22K Vol.
19%
June 30
June 30
$69.51K Vol.
30%
December 31
December 31
$195.95K Vol.
35%
Rules
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".