End date
Mar 31, 2026
$2,838,437 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Anthropic
Anthropic
$238.94K Vol.
58%
$401.2K Vol.
24%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$218.41K Vol.
10%
xAI
xAI
$215.46K Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$221.62K Vol.
3%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$172.1K Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$442.01K Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$188.25K Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$277.68K Vol.
<1%
Meituan
Meituan
$290.53K Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$172.24K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
