Claude 5 released by…?
$2.48M Vol.
2m
2d
9h
End date
Apr 30, 2026
$2,475,573 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
February 28, 2026
February 28, 2026
$963.03K Vol.
<1%
March 15, 2026
March 15, 2026
$75.1K Vol.
3%
March 31, 2026
March 31, 2026
$790.13K Vol.
9%
April 30, 2026
April 30, 2026
$78.31K Vol.
38%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."