End date
Mar 31, 2026
$30,085 Vol.
Outcome
% Chance
Anthropic
Anthropic
$5.2K Vol.
61%
$4.21K Vol.
22%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$3.06K Vol.
11%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$2.27K Vol.
3%
xAI
xAI
$2.89K Vol.
3%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$2.03K Vol.
2%
Meituan
Meituan
$2.06K Vol.
1%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$1.82K Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$2.22K Vol.
<1%
Baidu
Baidu
$1.84K Vol.
<1%
Mistral
Mistral
$2.49K Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
