
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Dec 31, 2026
$143.21K Vol.

End date: Dec 31, 2026
Outcomes

Below 4.50%
$24.38K Vol.
35%
35%

Below 4.45%
$29.54K Vol.
25%
25%

Below 4.40%
$18.95K Vol.
25%
25%

Below 4.35%
$26.18K Vol.
10%
10%

Below 4.30%
$12.95K Vol.
8%
8%

Below 4.10%
$10.48K Vol.
6%
6%

Below 4.25%
$5.35K Vol.
4%
4%

Below 4.20%
$7.9K Vol.
3%
3%

Below 4.00%
$7.49K Vol.
3%
3%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
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